By Amit Kapoor
India has become the fastest-growing economy in the world. The next logical steps are to make this trend sustaible and to ensure that the benefits of this growth percolate down to the lowest rungs of the income hierarchy.
The success of these two goals will highly depend on the improvement in the country’s tiol competitiveness. This is because, to maintain high growth in the global are, India needs to retain its competitive advantage in the industries it excels in, and to ensure universal prosperity it needs to enhance competitiveness of its factors of production, especially labour.
Considering the importance that the idea of competitiveness holds for India’s future, there is a need to understand what drives it. Is competitiveness a macro-economic phenomenon that is dependent on variables such as interest rates, exchange rates and government deficits? Or is it a function of cheap and abundant labour and tural resources? Can it be said to be dependent on the quality of a country’s institutions or government policy?
Empirical evidence seems to offer no clear answers. For instance, Japan and South Korea have witnessed rising living standards with widening budget deficits; Germany and Sweden have prospered despite high wages and labour shortages; and Italy experienced a boom even though governce was highly ineffective.
Such global experiences fly in the face of the traditiol approach in policymaking towards boosting tiol competitiveness that give undue importance to factors like interest rates and labour costs. India needs a focussed approach towards a singular goal that boosts its competitiveness to the fullest potential.
Michael Porter, a leading voice in areas of competition and strategy, suggests that competitiveness depends on the productivity with which a tion uses its human, capital and tural resources. According to him, a tion’s productivity is the prime determint of its long-run standard of living since the productivity of the labour determines its wages and the productivity of capital determines the return it earns for its holders. Thus, enhancing productivity caters to the twin goals of ensuring growth sustaibility and higher standard of living for everyone.
The importance of productivity growth is aptly summarised in noted economist Paul Krugman’s words: “Productivity isn’t everything, but in the long run it is almost everything.” Porter concurs when he suggests that a policy focus on interest rates, labour costs, exchange rates and economies of scale has only short-term appeal and will never lead to any competitive advantage for tions.
The recent ongoing distress pangs in the Indian IT sector vindicate Porter’s claims. The sector was highly dependent on providing low-cost talent to foreign firms. With higher automation and anti-immigration policies abroad, India has begun to lose the short-lived competitive advantage it had. Cost arbitrage can never be a long-term industry growth strategy.
On the other hand, productivity growth requires continual industrial upgradation. To improve productivity, companies must raise product quality, improve product technology, or boost production efficiency. All of these factors require consistent innovation, which has been lacking in Indian IT companies.
Views are also divided on the role of government in boosting the competitiveness of tions. Many believe that government has an essential role to play in framing policies that directly support industries and boost their competitive performance. Others support a laissez-faire approach where the invisible hand guides market operations.
However, both views have their flaws. The former runs the risk of creating high dependency on government support for subsidies and incentives that hurts industry in the long-run. The latter view ignores the crucial role the government plays in providing vital institutiol support to companies that can nudge them towards becoming more competitive.
The government’s actual role needs to be that of a catalyst, which provides companies with a conducive environment that helps them move towards higher levels of competitive performance. Successful government policies are ones that create an environment that helps companies gain competitive advantage rather than ones that directly involve the government in the process.
The Modi government, in the last three years, has attempted to undertake policy initiatives along similar lines. The consistent efforts to improve ease-of-doing-business across the country is a case in point. The parameters of doing business include regulatory and infrastructural indicators that create a conducive environment for business activities and reduce bureaucratic interference.
Moving forward, the government needs to consolidate on the gains it has made until now on improving competitiveness and act upon areas on which it has missed out. The problem of NPAs, thus, needs to be the first item on the agenda, which seems to be the case considering the free hand RBI was recently given to resolve the issue. The issue of bad loans has severely impacted lending operations to businesses, thus impacting the overall competitiveness of the economy.
Further, invigorating the tion’s competitiveness in the long run calls for some bold moves on the part of the government. In the Indian scerio where regiol disparities are widespread, policy on competitiveness cannot be decided at the tiol level. The government’s role in enhancing Bihar’s competitiveness, for instance, will be in stark contrast to the policy interventions needed in Maharashtra.
Therefore, an apex body (as part of NITI Aayog) devoted to enhancing the overall competitiveness of each state is necessary to stimulate productivity and competitiveness across India. It would work as a principal planning body of competitiveness in India and would be responsible for the socio-economic development of each state operating in consonce with other state departments as well as the central government. Such a body can understand the nuances of the state and be a facilitator in nudging industries towards achieving competitive advantage in areas where the state’s strengths lie. Competitive regions will beget a competitive economy. The more competitive the economy, the longer it can sustain its booming growth and bring about universal prosperity. (IANS)
(Amit Kapoor is chair, Institute for Competitiveness, India. The views expressed are persol. He can be contacted at email@example.com and tweets @kautiliya)