London, July 14: The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) said it expects Hillary Clinton to win the 2016 US presidential election, with the Democrats winning a majority in the Sete, while the Republicans would retain control of the House of Representatives.
Announcing the launch of “Election 2016: The unpopularity contest”, the EIU said it is expected that Clinton will serve for only one term because the business cycle will probably end in the next four years, pushing the economy into a mild recession, which will lead voters to be disappointed with the party’s failure to maintain economic growth.
Consequently, the Republicans will win the 2020 presidential election, having made concessions on immigration policy and having toned down its tivist rhetoric, but the party will field a better salesman than Dold Trump, said the statement by EIU, the world’s leading resource for economic and business research, forecasting and alysis.
Mike Jakeman, US alyst at the EIU said: “So far, Dold Trump has run a campaign that has veered between offensive and disastrous. It would require a remarkable reissance for him to overturn the negative views held by so many Americans. However, winning the 2016 election is likely to prove a poisoned chalice. The business cycle is already long in the tooth and the likelihood of recession under the next President is high. Arguably, Hillary Clinton has long suffered from bad timing. This is likely to be the case even if she wins the election.” (IANS)