India only major economy with talent surplus by 2030: Study

“Left unchecked, the financial impact of this talent shortage amounts to $8.5 trillion in unrealized annual revenue globally over the next 12 years,” it pointed out.

“Interestingly, the country that’s at the other end of the spectrum is India. The world’s sixth largest economy is the only one in the study which will have a talent surplus by 2030, with 245 million more workers in the next 12 years,” it said. The study covered 20 major developed and developing economies in three regions — the Americas (Brazil, Mexico, the US), EMEA (France, Germany, the Netherlands, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the UAE, the UK) and Asia Pacific (Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand).

The model focuses on three knowledge-intensive sectors within each market that act as critical drivers of global economic growth: financial and business services; TMT; and manufacturing. It also examines the remainder of each economy, said Korn Ferry. 

The imminent skilled labour shortage could ultimately shift the global balance of economic power by 2030, if left unaddressed, the study said, and added that technological advancement could be hindered by an acute global labour shortage of 4.3 million TMT workers by 2030.

“India will see a Level A (highly skilled) TMT surplus of 1.3 million workers by 2030, offering yet more opportunities for the nation. India could challenge America’s position well before 2030 in the TMT sector,” said the firm. The study forecasts a talent deficit of 85 million workers by 2030 across the economies analysed and the largest threat in the near term is faced by the US, Japan, France, Germany and Australia with a combined opportunity cost of $1.87 trillion by 2020. (IANS)