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Survey forecasts Congress-led government

Sentinel Digital DeskBy : Sentinel Digital Desk

  |  13 April 2015 12:00 AM GMT

The survey, however, kept mum on the matter if the Congress and the AIUDF will at all go for an alliance that has so far been a non-happening with Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi’s one-liner – who is Badruddin – not being a music to the AIUDF president’s ears.

By our Staff Reporter

GUWAHATI, April 12: A straw poll on the Assam Assembly elections in 2016 predicts that the ‘Mission 84’ set by the BJP in Assam soon after its massive win in the last Lok Sabha elections will remain a distant dream if the Congress and the AIUDF team up to keep the saffron party away from Dispur. The survey predicts a Congress government at Dispur yet again, and this time around in coalition with other parties, mainly the AIUDF.

If the prediction comes true, it will be proved beyond doubt that the AIUDF has become the kingmaker in Assam.

The survey has pinpointed a number of weak points for the BJP in Assam, and most of them hinge on the style of functioning of state BJP president Siddhartha Bhattacharyya like not taking senior leaders of the party into confidence. According to the survey, the BJP’s ‘Mission 84’ was announced taking upper Assam as its base, but two Tea Tribe candidates coming out winners from the region, the non-tea tribe voters have started inching towards the Congress now. “Upper Assam is fast going out of the grip of the BJP again,” the survey said.

On the winning prospects of a possible Congress-AIUDF alliance, the survey said: “If the two parties shake their hands, they may win Dhubri, South Salmara, Gauripur, Bilasipara West, Jaleswar, Goalpara East, Golapara West, Baghbor, Jania, Chenga, Sorukhetri, Barpeta, Borkhetri, Bhabanipur, Boko, Chhaygaon, Hajo, Rangiya, Morigaon, Lahorighat, Roha, Jagiroad, Bhatadrava, Hojai, Jamumukh, Dhing, Rupahihat, gaon, Sipajhar, Mangaldai, Dalgaon, oboicha, Biswath Chariali, Dhekiajuli, Borsola, Algapur, Hailakandi, Katlicherra, Karimganj South, Pathankandi, Ratabari, Badarpur, Katigorah, Udarbond, Soi, Dholai, Borkhola, Lumding, Baitholangshu, Howraghat and Haflong. The 18 LACs being held by the AIUDF in the present Assembly are among seats stated above.

This apart, the survey predicts ten certain seats for the Congress – Titabor, Teok, Mahmora, horkatiya, Moran, Margherita, Khumtai, Golaghat, Samaguri and Jalukbari.

The survey said that the Congress and the AIUDF might field weak candidates against each others’ certain seats or they might go for seat-sharing.

In Assam, straw poll findings may or may nor come true as the ground reality betrays poll pundits as often as not. This apart, the BJP has also enough time in its hands to set its house in order before the situation going out of control.

The survey, however, kept mum on the matter if the Congress and the AIUDF will at all go for an alliance that has so far been a non-happening with Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi’s one-liner – who is Badruddin – not being a music to the AIUDF president’s ears.

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